Mario Draghi, the previous Jerome Powell of the European Union, was tasked with writing an in depth report on the financial competitiveness (or lack thereof) in Europe.
His findings are hanging.
Listed below are some information and figures that stood out:
Throughout completely different metrics, a large hole in GDP has opened up between the EU and the US, pushed primarily by a extra pronounced slowdown in productiveness progress in Europe. Europe’s households have paid the value in foregone residing requirements. On a per capita foundation, actual disposable earnings has grown nearly twice as a lot within the US as within the EU since 2000.
Europe is caught in a static industrial construction with few new corporations rising as much as disrupt present industries or develop new progress engines. The truth is, there isn’t any EU firm with a market capitalisation over EUR 100 billion that has been arrange from scratch within the final fifty years, whereas all six US corporations with a valuation above EUR 1 trillion have been created on this interval.
The EU is getting into the primary interval in its latest historical past during which progress is not going to be supported by rising populations. By 2040, the workforce is projected to shrink by near 2 million staff annually.
EU corporations nonetheless face electrical energy costs which might be 2-3 occasions these within the US. Pure gasoline costs paid are 4-5 occasions larger.
Draghi gives some options for closing the competitiveness hole by decreasing obstacles to innovation, rising funding in sure areas and establishing an training curriculum that facilitates technological breakthroughs.
Right here’s one answer Draghi didn’t supply — extra air con.
The world is getting hotter.
Europe is the fastest-warming continent, with common temperatures rising at double the worldwide common.
Have a look at this chart from Torsten Slok:
I knew AC wasn’t an enormous deal in Europe however by no means realized solely 10% of properties had it.
You may chuckle at this suggestion, however there’s proof that reveals air con is among the most necessary innovations of the previous 100 years.
Singapore’s founding father, Lew Kuan Yew, credited air con as one of many principal drivers that turned a small island nation with few pure sources into one of the vital affluent international locations on the earth:
Air con was a most necessary invention for us, maybe one of many sign innovations of historical past. It modified the character of civilization by making improvement attainable within the tropics.
With out air con you possibly can work solely within the cool early-morning hours or at nightfall. The very first thing I did upon changing into prime minister was to put in air conditioners in buildings the place the civil service labored. This was key to public effectivity.
When air con first grew to become widespread in the USA within the Fifties and Nineteen Sixties, a examine discovered that federal staff noticed their productiveness rise 24% once they moved to an workplace with AC.
Steven Johnson wrote a complete chapter in his guide, How We Received to Now, about how the arrival of chilly — ice, refrigeration and AC — modified the course of historical past.
There’s a motive lots of the world’s largest cities – London, Paris, New York, Tokyo — have been created in reasonable climates. However now the expansion is occurring in hotter areas. Johnson explains:
The quickest rising megacities are predominantly in tropical local weather: Chennai, Bangkok, Manila, Jakarta, Karachi, Lagos, Dubai, Rio de Janeiro.
The power to manage temperature and humidity in workplace buildings, shops, and wealthier properties allowed these city facilities to draw an financial base that has catapulted them to megacity standing.
What we’re seeing is arguably the biggest mass migration in human historical past, and the primary to be triggered by a house equipment.
Air con modified voter patterns in the USA by permitting extra folks emigrate south. Within the coming years, it is going to probably save lives as sure areas of the planet get hotter and warmer.
I can’t think about life with out AC and am not sure how folks managed within the pre-AC period.
The AC unit in my workplace constructing invariably goes out for a few weeks each summer season. It makes my workplace dreadfully uncomfortable to work in.
If temperatures proceed to rise, air con will probably be one of the vital necessary home equipment within the twenty first century too.
Michael and I spoke about air con and rather more on this week’s Animal Spirits video:
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Additional Studying:
The Air Conditioning Impact
Now right here’s what I’ve been studying recently:
Books:
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